In its periodic update of economic conditions, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development forecast all-items inflation in the U.S. to be at 4.2% for 2026. The forecast is a sharp step ...

AI market forecasting is reshaping how organizations anticipate demand, risk, and opportunity by processing massive volumes of structured and unstructured data in near real time. Modern systems ingest ...

Google's DeepMind just released WeatherNext 2, a new version of its AI weather prediction model. The company promises that it "delivers more efficient, more accurate and higher-resolution global ...

Will the world still need economists in 2030? With skin in the game, we certainly hope so — but artificial intelligence is already transforming economic analysis. In our own work — and in a review of ...

The weather just isn’t what it used to be. Because of climate change, all across the planet, people are experiencing more heat waves, shrinking or growing seasons, worsening floods and storms, drought ...

Every three months, participants in the Metaculus forecasting cup try to predict the future for a prize pot of about $5,000. Metaculus, a forecasting platform, poses questions of geopolitical ...

It was only a generation or two ago that weather forecasts were not to be taken too seriously: funny-guy meteorologists on the local news wisecracking about ruined golf plans. That has long stopped ...

The National Science Foundation will sunset funding for a $20 million artificial intelligence institute designed to improve weather forecasting, a move that could sever a pipeline of scientists from ...

For farmers, every planting decision carries risks, and many of those risks are increasing with climate change. One of the most consequential is weather, which can damage crop yields and livelihoods.

In forecasting economic time series, statistical models often need to be complemented with a process to impose various constraints in a smooth manner. Systematically imposing constraints and retaining ...